Solar in Arlington, VA: 2026 Cost, Savings & Payback
Calculate 2026 solar panel cost, payback, and 25-year bill savings in Arlington, Virginia. Based on an estimated 4.4 peak sun hours/day, a 13.7¢/kWh planning electricity rate, Dominion Energy as the likely utility, and current IRS guidance for the ended federal residential clean energy credit.
Solar in Arlington, VA: quick answer
A typical 6kW solar system in Arlington costs about $17,760 before local or state incentives. For 2026 installs, the federal residential clean energy credit is modeled as $0, so the estimated cost remains about $17,760 before any local incentive. It produces about 7,516 kWh per year from 4.4 peak sun hours/day, saves about $1,032 per year, and reaches payback in about 17.2 years.
2026 6kW Cost
$17,760
Monthly Savings
$86
Production / kW
1,253 kWh
Panel Count
~15
4.4
Peak Sun Hours/Day
13.7¢
Planning Rate (¢/kWh)
17.2 yr
Payback Period
$36k
25-Year Savings
Arlington Solar Overview
Calculate Your Arlington Solar Savings
Arlington average: $124/mo
South-facing roofs produce the most energy
Add $8,000-$12,000 for whole-home battery backup
Annual Production
kWh/year
Annual Savings
per year
Net System Cost
no 2026 federal credit applied
Payback Period
break-even time
Bill Offset and Export Assumptions
Current Annual Bill
$1,488
Estimated Usage
10,838 kWh
Bill Offset
71%
Used On Site
100%
Exported production is discounted in this planning model instead of being treated as a guaranteed one-for-one bill credit. For Arlington, verify the current Dominion Energy export-credit method and any fixed monthly charges before relying on the payback number.
25-Year Total Savings
$36,139
Monthly Savings
$88
2026 Federal Credit
$0
Cumulative Savings vs System Cost
Cost Breakdown
| Item | Arlington | National Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Gross System Cost (6kW) | $17,760 | $17,100 |
| 2026 Federal Residential Credit | -$0 | $0 |
| Net System Cost | $17,760 | $17,100 |
| Cost Per Watt | $2.96/W | $2.85/W |
Solar Potential in Arlington
Sun Hours vs National Average
Arlington gets 2% less sun than the national average, but high-efficiency panels compensate.
Climate Advantages
- About 201 sunny days per year (planning estimate)
- Estimated average temperature: 56°F, cooler temps actually improve panel efficiency
- Assumed roof size: 1,831 sq ft, enough for a 101-panel system
Arlington Solar Incentives & Programs
Federal Residential Clean Energy Credit (Section 25D)
For 2026 planning, JouleIO does not subtract a federal residential clean energy credit. The IRS says the Residential Clean Energy Credit was 30% for eligible property installed from 2022 through December 31, 2025, and is not available for property placed in service after December 31, 2025.
Source: IRS Residential Clean Energy Credit and IRS One Big Beautiful Bill provisions.
Virginia State Incentives
Net metering; sales tax exemption
Net Metering: Dominion Energy
JouleIO's planning data marks net metering or a solar export credit as available for Dominion Energy customers in Arlington. Export credits can be at retail or below-retail rates depending on the current tariff, so confirm terms with the utility that serves your address.
Environmental Impact in Arlington
3.2
Tons CO2 Offset/Year
53
Equivalent Trees Planted
0.7
Homes Worth of Energy
Based on 7,709 kWh annual production with a 6kW system. EPA average: 0.417 metric tons CO2 per MWh, 10,632 kWh per US home.
Solar Energy in Arlington, Virginia
Arlington, Virginia receives an average of 4.4 peak sun hours per day, offering adequate solar resources for homeowners looking to reduce their electricity bills. With a planning electricity rate of 13.7¢ per kWh (EIA Virginia residential average for 2026-06: 17.22¢; U.S. average 18.34¢), below the national average, so payback is slower even with this calculator's 2.5% annual rate-increase assumption.
A typical 6kW solar system in Arlington produces approximately 7,709 kWh per year, saving homeowners an estimated $1,058 annually. The system pays for itself in about 16.8 years, after which you enjoy essentially free electricity for the remaining 8+ years of the system's warranty life.
JouleIO's dataset carries a modeled solar-adoption value of 5% for Arlington. It is a rough planning placeholder, not a measured count of local installations, so use utility interconnection data or installer quotes if local adoption matters to your decision.
Other Cities in Virginia
Alexandria, VA
Chesapeake, VA
Hampton, VA
Lynchburg, VA
Newport News, VA
Norfolk, VA
Richmond, VA
Roanoke, VA
Virginia Beach, VA
Methodology & Solar Data Sources for Arlington
How we calculate Arlington solar potential and savings: Annual production = system kW × estimated peak sun hours × 365 × 0.80 system derate × a roof-orientation factor. This is a simplified planning formula, not a PVWatts run for your address. Cost uses a planning price per watt for Virginia, and bill savings use a planning electricity rate of 13.7¢/kWh (the EIA Virginia residential average for 2026-06 is 17.22¢/kWh).
- Peak sun hours for Arlington (4.4/day) are a planning estimate in the typical range for Virginia, not a site-specific NREL NSRDB value. Enter your address in NREL PVWatts for a location-specific production estimate.
- System sizing defaults to a 6kW residential rooftop system with roughly 400W panels; adjust the size and monthly bill to match your home.
- Federal tax credit: modeled as 0% for 2026 residential installations because IRS guidance says the Residential Clean Energy Credit is not available for property placed in service after December 31, 2025.
- Exports are discounted rather than credited 1:1 at retail, because many utilities have shifted to net billing or avoided-cost export rates. Verify your utility's current tariff.
- 25-year savings assume a 2.5% annual electricity-rate increase and do not subtract panel degradation, inverter replacement, or maintenance.
Authoritative US solar data sources:
- NREL PVWatts Calculator, official US solar production estimator
- NREL National Solar Radiation Database, site-level solar irradiance data for checking your address
- IRS Residential Clean Energy Credit, 2026 federal residential credit status
- IRS One Big Beautiful Bill provisions, clean energy credit expiration overview
- DSIRE, State Solar Incentives, searchable database for Virginia
- EIA Electric Power Monthly Table 5.6.A, Virginia residential average price
- ENERGY STAR Solar, efficient solar product database
Solar Disclaimer: Solar savings vary based on roof orientation, shading, system quality, installer markup, financing terms, utility rate plan, and policy changes. Always get 3+ quotes from NABCEP-certified installers and review contracts carefully. Tax credit eligibility depends on tax liability, consult a tax professional.
Reviewed by Marcus Delacroix · Last updated 2026 · Sun-hour and rate inputs are planning estimates; EIA state rate period 2026-06
Frequently Asked Questions
How much do solar panels cost in Arlington, VA?
The average cost of a 6kW solar panel system in Arlington is approximately $17,760 before local or state incentives ($2.96/watt). For 2026 planning, this calculator does not subtract a federal residential clean energy credit because IRS guidance says the credit is not available for property placed in service after December 31, 2025. Net metering; sales tax exemption
How many solar panels do I need in Arlington, VA?
A typical 6kW residential solar system in Arlington needs about 15 panels if each panel is rated near 400 watts. That system produces about 7,516 kWh per year in this estimate, or roughly 1,253 kWh per installed kW before shading, roof orientation, and inverter losses are customized.
How many peak sun hours does Arlington get?
JouleIO models Arlington, VA at about 4.4 peak sun hours per day and roughly 201 sunny days per year. These are planning estimates, not site measurements, so check your exact address in NREL PVWatts. This is near the national average, providing good conditions for residential solar panels.
What is the solar payback period in Arlington?
The average solar payback period in Arlington is approximately 17.2 years for a 6kW cash-price estimate before local or state incentives. After payback, your solar panels generate essentially free electricity for the remaining warranty life. Over 25 years, bill savings can reach about $35,251 before subtracting installation cost.
Does Arlington have net metering?
JouleIO's planning data marks net metering or a solar export credit as available in Arlington, where Dominion Energy is the likely utility (verify for your address). Export credits may be at retail or below-retail rates depending on the current tariff, and fixed monthly charges still apply.
Is solar worth it in Arlington, VA in 2026?
Solar may still be worthwhile in Arlington, especially for homeowners with high usage or strong local incentives, but the 17.2-year payback means quote comparison matters. For 2026 installs, JouleIO does not assume a federal residential credit; local incentives and net metering are the main financial drivers.